Publications

Publication image for Downscaled CMIP5 projections of physical fire risk understate historical trends

2025 PCHES-ADAPT

Downscaled CMIP5 projections of physical fire risk understate historical trends

Avila, TC, DC Lafferty, M Stover, S Guerrero, C Samantula, IS Wing and RL Sriver

Environ. Res. Lett.

Publication image for Combined meteorological and hydrologic uncertainties shape projections of future soil moisture in the Eastern United States

2025 PCHES-ADAPT

Combined meteorological and hydrologic uncertainties shape projections of future soil moisture in the Eastern United States

Lafferty, DC, DS Grogan, S Zuidema, I Haqiqi, A Alipour, K Keller and RL Sriver

Earth's Future

Publication image for The distributional impact of FEMA’s community rating system

2024 PCHES-FRAME

The distributional impact of FEMA’s community rating system

Brent, DA, Y Ren and DH Wrenn

Agric. Resour. Econ. Rev.

Publication image for Global projections of heat exposure of older adults

2024 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME

Global projections of heat exposure of older adults

Falchetta, G, E De Cian, I Sue Wing and D Carr

Nat. Commun.

Publication image for What drives uncertainty surrounding riverine flood risks?

2024 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME

What drives uncertainty surrounding riverine flood risks?

Hosseini-Shakib, I, A Alipour, B Seiyon Lee, V Srikrishnan, RE Nicholas, K Keller and S Sharma

J. Hydrol.

Publication image for Harmonized Database of Western U.S. Water Rights (HarDWR) v.1

2024 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI

Harmonized Database of Western U.S. Water Rights (HarDWR) v.1

Lisk, MD, DS Grogan, S Zuidema, J Zheng, R Caccese, D Peklak, K Fisher-Vanden, RB Lammers, SM Olmstead and L Fowler

Scientific Data

Publication image for Generalizability of heat-related health risk associations observed in a large healthcare claims database of patients with commercial health insurance

2024 PCHES-ADAPT

Generalizability of heat-related health risk associations observed in a large healthcare claims database of patients with commercial health insurance

Milando, CW, Y Sun, Y Romitti, A Nori-Sarma, EL Gause, KR Spangler, I Sue Wing and GA Wellenius

Epidemiology

Publication image for A framework for multisector scenarios of outcomes for well‐being and resilience

2024 PCHES-ADAPT

A framework for multisector scenarios of outcomes for well‐being and resilience

O'Neill, BC, J Morris, J Lamontagne, J Weyant and M Wise

Earths Future

Publication image for Emergency department visits in California associated with wildfire PM<sub>2.5</sub>: differing risk across individuals and communities

2024 PCHES-ADAPT

Emergency department visits in California associated with wildfire PM2.5: differing risk across individuals and communities

Stowell, JD, I Sue Wing, Y Romitti, PL Kinney and GA Wellenius

Environ. Res. Health

Publication image for The Economics of Power System Transitions

2024 PCHES-ADAPT

The Economics of Power System Transitions

Webster, M, K Fisher-Vanden and I Sue Wing

Review of Environmental Economics and Policy

Publication image for Local, regional, and global adaptations to a compound pandemic-weather stress event

2023 PCHES-ADAPT

Local, regional, and global adaptations to a compound pandemic-weather stress event

Haqiqi, I, DS Grogan, MB Horeh, J Liu, UL Baldos, R Lammers and TW Hertel

Environmental Research Letters

Publication image for Global drivers of local water stresses and global responses to local water policies in the United States

2023 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME

Global drivers of local water stresses and global responses to local water policies in the United States

Haqiqi, I, L Bowling, S Jame, U Baldos, J Liu and T Hertel

Environ. Res. Lett.

Publication image for Bayesian Spatial Models for Projecting Corn Yields

2023 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME

Bayesian Spatial Models for Projecting Corn Yields

Roth, S, BS Lee, RE Nicholas, K Keller and M Haran

Remote Sensing

Publication image for Global gridded crop harvested area, production, yield, and monthly physical area data circa 2015

2022 PCHES-FRAME

Global gridded crop harvested area, production, yield, and monthly physical area data circa 2015

Grogan, D, S Frolking, D Wisser, A Prusevich and S Glidden

Scientific Data

Publication image for Water balance model (WBM) v.1.0.0: a scalable gridded global hydrologic model with water-tracking functionality

2022 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI

Water balance model (WBM) v.1.0.0: a scalable gridded global hydrologic model with water-tracking functionality

Grogan, DS, S Zuidema, A Prusevich, WM Wollheim, S Glidden and RB Lammers

Geoscientific Model Development

Publication image for Inequality in the availability of residential air conditioning across 115 US metropolitan areas

2022 PCHES-FRAME

Inequality in the availability of residential air conditioning across 115 US metropolitan areas

Romitti, Y, I Sue Wing, KR Spangler and GA Wellenius

PNAS Nexus

Publication image for Flood hazard model calibration using multiresolution model output

2022 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME

Flood hazard model calibration using multiresolution model output

Roth, SM, BS Lee, S Sharma, I Hosseini-Shakib, K Keller and M Haran

Environmetrics

Publication image for Neglecting model parametric uncertainty can drastically underestimate flood risks

2022 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME

Neglecting model parametric uncertainty can drastically underestimate flood risks

Sharma, S, BS Lee, I Hosseini-Shakib, M Haran and K Keller

Earths Future

Publication image for Integrated hydrological, power system and economic modelling of climate impacts on electricity demand and cost

2022 PCHES-FRAME

Integrated hydrological, power system and economic modelling of climate impacts on electricity demand and cost

Webster, M, K Fisher-Vanden, V Kumar, RB Lammers and J Perla

Nature Energy

Publication image for C3F: Collaborative Container-based Model Coupling Framework

2022 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME

C3F: Collaborative Container-based Model Coupling Framework

Woo, J, L Zhao, DS Grogan, I Haqiqi, R Lammers and CX Song

Practice and Experience in Advanced Research Computing (PEARC ’22)

Publication image for The Atlantic jet response to stratospheric events: A regime perspective

2021 PCHES-FRAME

The Atlantic jet response to stratospheric events: A regime perspective

Goss, M, EA Lindgren, A Sheshadri and NS Diffenbaugh

J. Geophys. Res.

Publication image for Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture

2021 PCHES-FRAME

Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture

Haqiqi, I, DS Grogan, TW Hertel and W Schlenker

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Publication image for Statistically bias-corrected and downscaled climate models underestimate the adverse effects of extreme heat on U.S. maize yields

2021 PCHES-FRAME

Statistically bias-corrected and downscaled climate models underestimate the adverse effects of extreme heat on U.S. maize yields

Lafferty, DC, RL Sriver, I Haqiqi, TW Hertel, K Keller and RE Nicholas

Communications Earth & Environment

Publication image for How Well Do U.S. Western Water Markets Convey Economic Information?

2021 PCHES-FRAME

How Well Do U.S. Western Water Markets Convey Economic Information?

Rimsaite, R, K Fisher-Vanden, S Olmstead and DS Grogan

Land Economics

Publication image for Coordination and control – limits in standard representations of multi-reservoir operations in hydrological modeling

2021 PCHES-FRAME

Coordination and control – limits in standard representations of multi-reservoir operations in hydrological modeling

Rougé, C, PM Reed, DS Grogan, S Zuidema, A Prusevich, S Glidden, JR Lamontagne and RB Lammers

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Publication image for Market expectations of a warming climate

2021 PCHES-FRAME

Market expectations of a warming climate

Schlenker, W and CA Taylor

Journal of Financial Economics

Publication image for Global vulnerability of crop yields to climate change

2021 PCHES-FRAME

Global vulnerability of crop yields to climate change

Sue Wing, I, E De Cian and MN Mistry

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Publication image for SIMPLE-G: A multiscale framework for integration of economic and biophysical determinants of sustainability

2020 PCHES-FRAME

SIMPLE-G: A multiscale framework for integration of economic and biophysical determinants of sustainability

Baldos, UL, I Haqiqi, TW Hertel, M Horridge and J Liu

Environmental Modelling & Software

Publication image for Come Hell or High-Water: Challenges for Adapting Pacific Northwest Water Law

2020 PCHES-FRAME

Come Hell or High-Water: Challenges for Adapting Pacific Northwest Water Law

Caccese, RT and LB Fowler

Pace Environmental Law Review

Publication image for A fast particle-based approach for calibrating a 3-D model of the Antarctic ice sheet

2020 PCHES-FRAME

A fast particle-based approach for calibrating a 3-D model of the Antarctic ice sheet

Lee, BS, M Haran, RW Fuller, D Pollard and K Keller

The Annals of Applied Statistics

Publication image for Fine-Scale Analysis of the Energy-Land-Water Nexus: Nitrate Leaching Implications of Biomass Cofiring in the Midwestern United States

2020 PCHES-FRAME

Fine-Scale Analysis of the Energy-Land-Water Nexus: Nitrate Leaching Implications of Biomass Cofiring in the Midwestern United States

Sun, S, BV Ordonez, MD Webster, J Liu, CJ Kucharik and T Hertel

Environmental Science & Technology

Publication image for The Role of Climate Sensitivity in Upper‐Tail Sea Level Rise Projections

2020 PCHES-FRAME

The Role of Climate Sensitivity in Upper‐Tail Sea Level Rise Projections

Vega‐Westhoff, B, RL Sriver, C Hartin, TE Wong and K Keller

Geophysical Research Letters

Publication image for Future climate impacts on global agricultural yields over the 21st century

2020 PCHES-FRAME

Future climate impacts on global agricultural yields over the 21st century

Waldhoff, ST, I Sue Wing, J Edmonds, G Leng and X Zhang

Environmental Research Letters

Publication image for The impact of water access on short‐term migration in rural India

2020 PCHES-IAMDDI

The impact of water access on short‐term migration in rural India

Zaveri, ED, DH Wrenn and K Fisher‐Vanden

Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics

Publication image for Interplay of changing irrigation technologies and water reuse: example from the upper Snake River basin, Idaho, USA

2020 PCHES-FRAME

Interplay of changing irrigation technologies and water reuse: example from the upper Snake River basin, Idaho, USA

Zuidema, S, D Grogan, A Prusevich, R Lammers, S Gilmore and P Williams

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Publication image for Global Energy Consumption in a Warming Climate

2019 PCHES-IAMDDI

Global Energy Consumption in a Warming Climate

De Cian, E and I Sue Wing

Environmental & Resource Economics

Publication image for Future climate emulations using quantile regressions on large ensembles

2019 PCHES-FRAME

Future climate emulations using quantile regressions on large ensembles

Haugen, MA, ML Stein, RL Sriver and EJ Moyer

Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography

Publication image for Representation of U.S. Warm Temperature Extremes in Global Climate Model Ensembles

2019 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI

Representation of U.S. Warm Temperature Extremes in Global Climate Model Ensembles

Hogan, E, RE Nicholas, K Keller, S Eilts and RL Sriver

Journal of Climate

Publication image for On choosing the resolution of normative models

2019 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI

On choosing the resolution of normative models

Merrick, JH and JP Weyant

European Journal of Operational Research

Publication image for Amplification of future energy demand growth due to climate change

2019 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI

Amplification of future energy demand growth due to climate change

van Ruijven, BJ, E De Cian and I Sue Wing

Nature Communications

Publication image for Synthesis and Review: an inter-method comparison of climate change impacts on agriculture

2018 PCHES-IAMDDI

Synthesis and Review: an inter-method comparison of climate change impacts on agriculture

Ciscar, JC, K Fisher-Vanden and DB Lobell

Environmental Research Letters

Publication image for Climate Change, Migration, and Regional Economic Impacts in the United States

2018 PCHES-IAMDDI

Climate Change, Migration, and Regional Economic Impacts in the United States

Fan, Q, K Fisher-Vanden and H Allen Klaiber

Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

Publication image for Characterizing uncertain sea-level rise projections to support investment decisions

2018 PCHES-IAMDDI

Characterizing uncertain sea-level rise projections to support investment decisions

Sriver, RL, RJ Lempert, P Wikman-Svahn and K Keller

PLoS One

Publication image for The Use of Panel Models in Assessments of Climate Impacts on Agriculture

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI

The Use of Panel Models in Assessments of Climate Impacts on Agriculture

Blanc, E and W Schlenker

Review of Environmental Economics and Policy

Publication image for Quantifying the indirect impacts of climate on agriculture: an inter-method comparison

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI

Quantifying the indirect impacts of climate on agriculture: an inter-method comparison

Calvin, K and K Fisher-Vanden

Environmental Research Letters

Publication image for Household Adjustments to Hurricane Katrina

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI

Household Adjustments to Hurricane Katrina

Davlasheridze, M and Q Fan

The Review of Regional Studies; New Brunswick

Publication image for The effects of adaptation measures on hurricane induced property losses: Which FEMA investments have the highest returns?

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI

The effects of adaptation measures on hurricane induced property losses: Which FEMA investments have the highest returns?

Davlasheridze, M, K Fisher-Vanden and H Allen Klaiber

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Publication image for The use and re-use of unsustainable groundwater for irrigation: a global budget

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI

The use and re-use of unsustainable groundwater for irrigation: a global budget

Grogan, DS, D Wisser, A Prusevich, RB Lammers and S Frolking

Environmental Research Letters

Publication image for Achieving sustainable irrigation water withdrawals: global impacts on food security and land use

2017 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI

Achieving sustainable irrigation water withdrawals: global impacts on food security and land use

Liu, J, TW Hertel, RB Lammers, A Prusevich, UL Baldos, DS Grogan and S Frolking

Environmental Research Letters

Publication image for Asylum applications respond to temperature fluctuations

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI

Asylum applications respond to temperature fluctuations

Missirian, A and W Schlenker

Science

Publication image for The effects of time-varying observation errors on semi-empirical sea-level projections

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI

The effects of time-varying observation errors on semi-empirical sea-level projections

Ruckert, KL, Y Guan, AM Bakker, CE Forest and K Keller

Climatic Change

Publication image for Representing spatial technology diffusion in an energy system optimization model

2016 PCHES-IAMDDI

Representing spatial technology diffusion in an energy system optimization model

Leibowicz, BD, V Krey and A Grubler

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Publication image for Climate Change and Water Resources: Some Adaptation Tools and Their Limits

2016 PCHES-IAMDDI

Climate Change and Water Resources: Some Adaptation Tools and Their Limits

Olmstead, SM, KA Fisher-Vanden and R Rimsaite

Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management

Publication image for Invisible water, visible impact: groundwater use and Indian agriculture under climate change

2016 PCHES-IAMDDI

Invisible water, visible impact: groundwater use and Indian agriculture under climate change

Zaveri, E, DS Grogan, K Fisher-Vanden, S Frolking, RB Lammers, DH Wrenn, A Prusevich and RE Nicholas

Environmental Research Letters

Publication image for Increasing temperature forcing reduces the Greenland Ice Sheet’s response time scale

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI

Increasing temperature forcing reduces the Greenland Ice Sheet’s response time scale

Applegate, PJ, BR Parizek, RE Nicholas, RB Alley and K Keller

Climate Dynamics

Publication image for Fat-Tailed Uncertainty, Learning, and Climate Policy

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI

Fat-Tailed Uncertainty, Learning, and Climate Policy

Bistline, JE

Climate Change Economics

Publication image for Cities, traffic, and CO₂: A multidecadal assessment of trends, drivers, and scaling relationships

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI

Cities, traffic, and CO₂: A multidecadal assessment of trends, drivers, and scaling relationships

Gately, CK, LR Hutyra and I Sue Wing

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Publication image for Quantifying the link between crop production and mined groundwater irrigation in China

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI

Quantifying the link between crop production and mined groundwater irrigation in China

Grogan, DS, F Zhang, A Prusevich, RB Lammers, D Wisser, S Glidden, C Li and S Frolking

The Science of the Total Environment

Publication image for Contribution of changes in atmospheric circulation patterns to extreme temperature trends

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI

Contribution of changes in atmospheric circulation patterns to extreme temperature trends

Horton, DE, NC Johnson, D Singh, DL Swain, B Rajaratnam and NS Diffenbaugh

Nature

Publication image for Future property damage from flooding: sensitivities to economy and climate change

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI

Future property damage from flooding: sensitivities to economy and climate change

Liu, J, TW Hertel, NS Diffenbaugh, MS Delgado and M Ashfaq

Climatic Change

Publication image for Importance Sampling in Stochastic Programming: A Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI

Importance Sampling in Stochastic Programming: A Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach

Parpas, P, B Ustun, M Webster and QK Tran

INFORMS Journal on Computing

Publication image for Comparison of integrated assessment models: Carbon price impacts on U.S. energy

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI

Comparison of integrated assessment models: Carbon price impacts on U.S. energy

Wilkerson, JT, BD Leibowicz, DD Turner and JP Weyant

Energy Policy

Publication image for Global food security in 2050: the role of agricultural productivity and climate change

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI

Global food security in 2050: the role of agricultural productivity and climate change

Baldos, UL and TW Hertel

The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics

Publication image for Inaction and climate stabilization uncertainties lead to severe economic risks

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI

Inaction and climate stabilization uncertainties lead to severe economic risks

Butler, MP, PM Reed, K Fisher-Vanden, K Keller and T Wagener

Climatic Change

Publication image for Identifying parametric controls and dependencies in integrated assessment models using global sensitivity analysis

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI

Identifying parametric controls and dependencies in integrated assessment models using global sensitivity analysis

Butler, MP, PM Reed, K Fisher-Vanden, K Keller and T Wagener

Environmental Modelling and Software

Publication image for Global market integration increases likelihood that a future African Green Revolution could increase crop land use and CO<sub>2</sub> emissions

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI

Global market integration increases likelihood that a future African Green Revolution could increase crop land use and CO2 emissions

Hertel, TW, N Ramankutty and UL Baldos

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Publication image for Net carbon uptake has increased through warming-induced changes in temperate forest phenology

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI

Net carbon uptake has increased through warming-induced changes in temperate forest phenology

Keenan, TF, J Gray, MA Friedl, M Toomey, G Bohrer, DY Hollinger, J William Munger, J O’Keefe, HP Schmid, I Sue Wing, B Yang and AD Richardson

Nature Climate Change

Publication image for International trade buffers the impact of future irrigation shortfalls

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI

International trade buffers the impact of future irrigation shortfalls

Liu, J, TW Hertel, F Taheripour, T Zhu and C Ringler

Global Environmental Change

Publication image for Necessity as the mother of invention: Innovative responses to natural disasters

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI

Necessity as the mother of invention: Innovative responses to natural disasters

Miao, Q and D Popp

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Publication image for A stochastic multiscale model for electricity generation capacity expansion

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI

A stochastic multiscale model for electricity generation capacity expansion

Parpas, P and M Webster

European Journal of Operational Research

Publication image for Market-oriented ethanol and corn-trade policies can reduce climate-induced US corn price volatility

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI

Market-oriented ethanol and corn-trade policies can reduce climate-induced US corn price volatility

Verma, M, T Hertel and N Diffenbaugh

Environmental Research Letters

Publication image for A bottom up approach to on-road CO<sub>2</sub> emissions estimates: improved spatial accuracy and applications for regional planning

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI

A bottom up approach to on-road CO2 emissions estimates: improved spatial accuracy and applications for regional planning

Gately, CK, LR Hutyra, I Sue Wing and MN Brondfield

Environmental Science & Technology

Publication image for Competition for land in the global bioeconomy

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI

Competition for land in the global bioeconomy

Hertel, T, J Steinbuks and U Baldos

Agricultural Economics

Publication image for Market-mediated environmental impacts of biofuels

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI

Market-mediated environmental impacts of biofuels

Hertel, TW and WE Tyner

Global Food Security

Publication image for Climate adaptation as mitigation: the case of agricultural investments

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI

Climate adaptation as mitigation: the case of agricultural investments

Lobell, DB, UL Baldos and TW Hertel

Environmental Research Letters

Publication image for The role of irrigation in determining the global land use impacts of biofuels

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI

The role of irrigation in determining the global land use impacts of biofuels

Taheripour, F, TW Hertel and J Liu

Energy, Sustainability and Society

Publication image for An assessment of key model parametric uncertainties in projections of Greenland Ice Sheet behavior

2012 PCHES-IAMDDI

An assessment of key model parametric uncertainties in projections of Greenland Ice Sheet behavior

Applegate, PJ, N Kirchner, EJ Stone, K Keller and R Greve

The Cryosphere

Publication image for Response of corn markets to climate volatility under alternative energy futures

2012 PCHES-IAMDDI

Response of corn markets to climate volatility under alternative energy futures

Diffenbaugh, NS, TW Hertel, M Scherer and M Verma

Nature Climate Change

Publication image for Modeling Land-Use Change Impacts of Biofuels in the GTAP-BIO Framework

2012 PCHES-IAMDDI

Modeling Land-Use Change Impacts of Biofuels in the GTAP-BIO Framework

Golub, AA and TW Hertel

Climate Change Economics

PCHES-ADAPT Supported by the US Department of Energy, Office of Science under Cooperative Agreement No. DE-SC0022141 (BibTeX).
PCHES-FRAME Supported by the US Department of Energy, Office of Science under Cooperative Agreement No. DE-SC0016162 (BibTeX).
PCHES-IAMDDI Supported by the US Department of Energy, Office of Science under Grant No. DE-SC005171 (BibTeX).