Publications

2023 PCHES-ADAPT
Population Aging and Heat Exposure in the 21 st Century: Which U.S. Regions Are at Greatest Risk and Why?

Carr, D, G Falchetta and IS Wing

Gerontologist

2023 PCHES-FRAME
Air-conditioning adoption and electricity demand highlight climate change mitigation-adaptation tradeoffs

Colelli, FP, IS Wing and E Cian

Scientific Reports

2023 PCHES-ADAPT
Local, regional, and global adaptations to a compound pandemic-weather stress event

Haqiqi, I, DS Grogan, MB Horeh, J Liu, UL Baldos, R Lammers and TW Hertel

Environmental Research Letters

2023 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME
Potential Benefits in Remapping the Special Flood Hazard Area: Evidence from the U.S. Housing Market

Pollack, AB, DH Wrenn, C Nolte and IS Wing

Journal of Housing Economics

2022 PCHES-FRAME
Global gridded crop harvested area, production, yield, and monthly physical area data circa 2015

Grogan, D, S Frolking, D Wisser, A Prusevich and S Glidden

Scientific Data

2022 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI
Water balance model (WBM) v.1.0.0: a scalable gridded global hydrologic model with water-tracking functionality

Grogan, DS, S Zuidema, A Prusevich, WM Wollheim, S Glidden and RB Lammers

Geoscientific Model Development

2022 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME
Aggregation bias and its drivers in large‐scale flood loss estimation: A Massachusetts case study

Pollack, AB, I Sue Wing and C Nolte

Journal of Flood Risk Management

2022 PCHES-FRAME
Heterogeneous climate change impacts on electricity demand in world cities circa mid-century

Romitti, Y and I Sue Wing

Scientific Reports

2022 PCHES-FRAME
Inequality in the availability of residential air conditioning across 115 US metropolitan areas

Romitti, Y, I Sue Wing, KR Spangler and GA Wellenius

PNAS Nexus

2022 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME
Flood hazard model calibration using multiresolution model output

Roth, SM, BS Lee, S Sharma, I Hosseini-Shakib, K Keller and M Haran

Environmetrics

2022 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME
Neglecting model parametric uncertainty can drastically underestimate flood risks

Sharma, S, BS Lee, I Hosseini-Shakib, M Haran and K Keller

Earths Future

2022 PCHES-FRAME
Integrated hydrological, power system and economic modelling of climate impacts on electricity demand and cost

Webster, M, K Fisher-Vanden, V Kumar, RB Lammers and J Perla

Nature Energy

2022 PCHES-ADAPT PCHES-FRAME
C3F: Collaborative Container-based Model Coupling Framework

Woo, J, L Zhao, DS Grogan, I Haqiqi, R Lammers and CX Song, Practice and Experience in Advanced Research Computing, DOI: 10.1145/3491418.3530298.

2021 PCHES-FRAME
Quantifying the impacts of compound extremes on agriculture

Haqiqi, I, DS Grogan, TW Hertel and W Schlenker

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

2021 PCHES-FRAME
Statistically bias-corrected and downscaled climate models underestimate the adverse effects of extreme heat on U.S. maize yields

Lafferty, DC, RL Sriver, I Haqiqi, TW Hertel, K Keller and RE Nicholas

Communications Earth & Environment

2021 PCHES-FRAME
How Well Do U.S. Western Water Markets Convey Economic Information?

Rimsaite, R, K Fisher-Vanden, S Olmstead and DS Grogan

Land Economics

2021 PCHES-FRAME
Coordination and control – limits in standard representations of multi-reservoir operations in hydrological modeling

Rougé, C, PM Reed, DS Grogan, S Zuidema, A Prusevich, S Glidden, JR Lamontagne and RB Lammers

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

2021 PCHES-FRAME
Market expectations of a warming climate

Schlenker, W and CA Taylor

Journal of Financial Economics

2021 PCHES-FRAME
Small increases in agent-based model complexity can result in large increases in required calibration data

Srikrishnan, V and K Keller

Environmental Modelling & Software

2021 PCHES-FRAME
Global vulnerability of crop yields to climate change

Sue Wing, I, E De Cian and MN Mistry

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

2021 PCHES-FRAME
Considering uncertainties expands the lower tail of maize yield projections

Ye, H, RE Nicholas, S Roth and K Keller

PLoS ONE

2021 PCHES-FRAME
The FLOod Probability Interpolation Tool (FLOPIT): A Simple Tool to Improve Spatial Flood Probability Quantification and Communication

Zarekarizi, M, KJ Roop-Eckart, S Sharma and K Keller

Water

2020 PCHES-FRAME
SIMPLE-G: A multiscale framework for integration of economic and biophysical determinants of sustainability

Baldos, UL, I Haqiqi, TW Hertel, M Horridge and J Liu

Environmental Modelling & Software

2020 PCHES-FRAME
Come Hell or High-Water: Challenges for Adapting Pacific Northwest Water Law

Caccese, RT and LB Fowler

Pace Environmental Law Review

2020 PCHES-FRAME
A fast particle-based approach for calibrating a 3-D model of the Antarctic ice sheet

Lee, BS, M Haran, RW Fuller, D Pollard and K Keller

The Annals of Applied Statistics

2020 PCHES-FRAME
Fine-Scale Analysis of the Energy-Land-Water Nexus: Nitrate Leaching Implications of Biomass Cofiring in the Midwestern United States

Sun, S, BV Ordonez, MD Webster, J Liu, CJ Kucharik and T Hertel

Environmental Science & Technology

2020 PCHES-FRAME
The Role of Climate Sensitivity in Upper‐Tail Sea Level Rise Projections

Vega‐Westhoff, B, RL Sriver, C Hartin, TE Wong and K Keller

Geophysical Research Letters

2020 PCHES-FRAME
Future climate impacts on global agricultural yields over the 21st century

Waldhoff, ST, I Sue Wing, J Edmonds, G Leng and X Zhang

Environmental Research Letters

2020 PCHES-IAMDDI
The impact of water access on short‐term migration in rural India

Zaveri, ED, DH Wrenn and K Fisher‐Vanden

Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics

2020 PCHES-FRAME
Interplay of changing irrigation technologies and water reuse: example from the upper Snake River basin, Idaho, USA

Zuidema, S, D Grogan, A Prusevich, R Lammers, S Gilmore and P Williams

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

2019 PCHES-IAMDDI
Global Energy Consumption in a Warming Climate

De Cian, E and I Sue Wing

Environmental & Resource Economics

2019 PCHES-FRAME
Future climate emulations using quantile regressions on large ensembles

Haugen, MA, ML Stein, RL Sriver and EJ Moyer

Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography

2019 PCHES-FRAME
The effect of internal variability on ocean temperature adjustment in a low-resolution CESM initial conditions ensemble

Hogan, E and RL Sriver

Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans

2019 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI
Representation of U.S. Warm Temperature Extremes in Global Climate Model Ensembles

Hogan, E, RE Nicholas, K Keller, S Eilts and RL Sriver

Journal of Climate

2019 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI
On choosing the resolution of normative models

Merrick, JH and JP Weyant

European Journal of Operational Research

2019 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI
Amplification of future energy demand growth due to climate change

van Ruijven, BJ, E De Cian and I Sue Wing

Nature Communications

2018 PCHES-IAMDDI
Synthesis and Review: an inter-method comparison of climate change impacts on agriculture

Ciscar, JC, K Fisher-Vanden and DB Lobell

Environmental Research Letters

2018 PCHES-IAMDDI
Climate Change, Migration, and Regional Economic Impacts in the United States

Fan, Q, K Fisher-Vanden and H Allen Klaiber

Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists

2018 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI
Estimating Changes in Temperature Distributions in a Large Ensemble of Climate Simulations Using Quantile Regression

Haugen, MA, ML Stein, EJ Moyer and RL Sriver

Journal of Climate

2018 PCHES-IAMDDI
Evolution of modeling of the economics of global warming: changes in the DICE model, 1992–2017

Nordhaus, W

Climatic Change

2018 PCHES-IAMDDI
Characterizing uncertain sea-level rise projections to support investment decisions

Sriver, RL, RJ Lempert, P Wikman-Svahn and K Keller

PLoS One

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI
The Use of Panel Models in Assessments of Climate Impacts on Agriculture

Blanc, E and W Schlenker

Review of Environmental Economics and Policy

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI
Quantifying the indirect impacts of climate on agriculture: an inter-method comparison

Calvin, K and K Fisher-Vanden

Environmental Research Letters

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI
Household Adjustments to Hurricane Katrina

Davlasheridze, M and Q Fan

The Review of Regional Studies; New Brunswick

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI
The effects of adaptation measures on hurricane induced property losses: Which FEMA investments have the highest returns?

Davlasheridze, M, K Fisher-Vanden and H Allen Klaiber

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI
The use and re-use of unsustainable groundwater for irrigation: a global budget

Grogan, DS, D Wisser, A Prusevich, RB Lammers and S Frolking

Environmental Research Letters

2017 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI
Analyzing the Effect of Ocean Internal Variability on Depth-Integrated Steric Sea-Level Rise Trends Using a Low-Resolution CESM Ensemble

Hogan, E and R Sriver

Water

2017 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI
Achieving sustainable irrigation water withdrawals: global impacts on food security and land use

Liu, J, TW Hertel, RB Lammers, A Prusevich, UL Baldos, DS Grogan and S Frolking

Environmental Research Letters

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI
Asylum applications respond to temperature fluctuations

Missirian, A and W Schlenker

Science

2017 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI
Simulated vs. empirical weather responsiveness of crop yields: US evidence and implications for the agricultural impacts of climate change

Mistry, MN, I Sue Wing and E De Cian

Environmental Research Letters

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI
Economic impacts of climate change on agriculture: a comparison of process-based and statistical yield models

Moore, FC, UL Baldos and T Hertel

Environmental Research Letters

2017 PCHES-IAMDDI
The effects of time-varying observation errors on semi-empirical sea-level projections

Ruckert, KL, Y Guan, AM Bakker, CE Forest and K Keller

Climatic Change

2017 PCHES-FRAME PCHES-IAMDDI
Analysis of ENSO's response to unforced variability and anthropogenic forcing using CESM

Vega-Westhoff, B and RL Sriver

Scientific Reports

2016 PCHES-IAMDDI
A potential disintegration of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet: Implications for economic analyses of climate policy

Diaz, D and K Keller

The American Economic Review

2016 PCHES-IAMDDI
Estimating global damages from sea level rise with the Coastal Impact and Adaptation Model (CIAM)

Diaz, DB

Climatic Change

2016 PCHES-IAMDDI
Flood Risk, Flood Mitigation, and Location Choice: Evaluating the National Flood Insurance Program's Community Rating System

Fan, Q and M Davlasheridze

Risk Analysis

2016 PCHES-IAMDDI
Does Extreme Weather Drive Interregional Brain Drain in the U.S.? Evidence from a Sorting Model

Fan, Q, H Allen Klaiber and K Fisher-Vanden

Land Economics

2016 PCHES-IAMDDI
Representing spatial technology diffusion in an energy system optimization model

Leibowicz, BD, V Krey and A Grubler

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2016 PCHES-IAMDDI
Climate Change and Water Resources: Some Adaptation Tools and Their Limits

Olmstead, SM, KA Fisher-Vanden and R Rimsaite

Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management

2016 PCHES-IAMDDI
The Learning Process and Technological Change in Wind Power: Evidence from China's CDM Wind Projects

Tang, T and D Popp

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management

2016 PCHES-IAMDDI
Invisible water, visible impact: groundwater use and Indian agriculture under climate change

Zaveri, E, DS Grogan, K Fisher-Vanden, S Frolking, RB Lammers, DH Wrenn, A Prusevich and RE Nicholas

Environmental Research Letters

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
How effective is albedo modification (solar radiation management geoengineering) in preventing sea-level rise from the Greenland Ice Sheet?

Applegate, PJ and K Keller

Environmental Research Letters

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Increasing temperature forcing reduces the Greenland Ice Sheet’s response time scale

Applegate, PJ, BR Parizek, RE Nicholas, RB Alley and K Keller

Climate Dynamics

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
The role of international trade in managing food security risks from climate change

Baldos, UL and TW Hertel

Food Security

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Electric sector capacity planning under uncertainty: Climate policy and natural gas in the US

Bistline, JE

Energy Economics

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Fat-Tailed Uncertainty, Learning, and Climate Policy

Bistline, JE

Climate Change Economics

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Integrated Assessment of Climate Catastrophes with Endogenous Uncertainty: Does the Risk of Ice Sheet Collapse Justify Precautionary Mitigation?

Diaz, D

FEEM Working Paper No. 064.2015

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Cities, traffic, and CO₂: A multidecadal assessment of trends, drivers, and scaling relationships

Gately, CK, LR Hutyra and I Sue Wing

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Quantifying the link between crop production and mined groundwater irrigation in China

Grogan, DS, F Zhang, A Prusevich, RB Lammers, D Wisser, S Glidden, C Li and S Frolking

The Science of the Total Environment

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
The challenges of sustainably feeding a growing planet

Hertel, TW

Food Security

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Contribution of changes in atmospheric circulation patterns to extreme temperature trends

Horton, DE, NC Johnson, D Singh, DL Swain, B Rajaratnam and NS Diffenbaugh

Nature

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Growth and competition in renewable energy industries: Insights from an integrated assessment model with strategic firms

Leibowicz, BD

Energy Economics

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Future property damage from flooding: sensitivities to economy and climate change

Liu, J, TW Hertel, NS Diffenbaugh, MS Delgado and M Ashfaq

Climatic Change

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Importance Sampling in Stochastic Programming: A Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach

Parpas, P, B Ustun, M Webster and QK Tran

INFORMS Journal on Computing

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Effects of initial conditions uncertainty on regional climate variability: An analysis using a low-resolution CESM ensemble

Sriver, RL, CE Forest and K Keller

Geophysical Research Letters

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Estimating the regional climate responses over river basins to changes in tropical sea surface temperature patterns

Tsai, CY, CE Forest and T Wagener

Climate Dynamics

2015 PCHES-IAMDDI
Comparison of integrated assessment models: Carbon price impacts on U.S. energy

Wilkerson, JT, BD Leibowicz, DD Turner and JP Weyant

Energy Policy

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Global food security in 2050: the role of agricultural productivity and climate change

Baldos, UL and TW Hertel

The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Climate–water interactions—Challenges for improved representation in integrated assessment models

Bell, A, T Zhu, H Xie and C Ringler

Energy Economics

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Energy technology expert elicitations: An application to natural gas turbine efficiencies

Bistline, JE

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Natural gas, uncertainty, and climate policy in the US electric power sector

Bistline, JE

Energy Policy

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Climate change, sea level rise, and coastal disasters. A review of modeling practices

Bosello, F and E De Cian

Energy Economics

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Inaction and climate stabilization uncertainties lead to severe economic risks

Butler, MP, PM Reed, K Fisher-Vanden, K Keller and T Wagener

Climatic Change

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Identifying parametric controls and dependencies in integrated assessment models using global sensitivity analysis

Butler, MP, PM Reed, K Fisher-Vanden, K Keller and T Wagener

Environmental Modelling and Software

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Integrated assessment of climate impacts and adaptation in the energy sector

Ciscar, JC and P Dowling

Energy Economics

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Temperature, human health, and adaptation: A review of the empirical literature

Deschenes, O

Energy Economics

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Introduction to the Special Issue on Climate Adaptation: Improving the connection between empirical research and integrated assessment models

Fisher-Vanden, K, D Popp and I Sue Wing

Energy Economics

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Agricultural adaptation to climate change in rich and poor countries: Current modeling practice and potential for empirical contributions

Hertel, TW and DB Lobell

Energy Economics

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Global market integration increases likelihood that a future African Green Revolution could increase crop land use and CO2 emissions

Hertel, TW, N Ramankutty and UL Baldos

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Net carbon uptake has increased through warming-induced changes in temperate forest phenology

Keenan, TF, J Gray, MA Friedl, M Toomey, G Bohrer, DY Hollinger, J William Munger, J O’Keefe, HP Schmid, I Sue Wing, B Yang and AD Richardson

Nature Climate Change

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Migration and household adaptation to climate: A review of empirical research

Klaiber, HA

Energy Economics

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Informing climate adaptation: A review of the economic costs of natural disasters

Kousky, C

Energy Economics

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Estimating the Sensitivity of the Atmospheric Teleconnection Patterns to SST Anomalies Using a Linear Statistical Method

Li, W and CE Forest

Journal of Climate

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
International trade buffers the impact of future irrigation shortfalls

Liu, J, TW Hertel, F Taheripour, T Zhu and C Ringler

Global Environmental Change

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Necessity as the mother of invention: Innovative responses to natural disasters

Miao, Q and D Popp

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Climate change adaptation and water resource management: A review of the literature

Olmstead, SM

Energy Economics

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
A stochastic multiscale model for electricity generation capacity expansion

Parpas, P and M Webster

European Journal of Operational Research

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Integrated assessment modeling of climate change adaptation in forestry and pasture land use: A review

Rose, SK

Energy Economics

2014 PCHES-IAMDDI
Market-oriented ethanol and corn-trade policies can reduce climate-induced US corn price volatility

Verma, M, T Hertel and N Diffenbaugh

Environmental Research Letters

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI
Looking back to move forward on model validation: insights from a global model of agricultural land use

Baldos, UL and TW Hertel

Environmental Research Letters

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI
The Spatiotemporal Evolution of U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Stylized Facts and Implications for Climate Policy

Baldwin, JG and I Sue Wing

Journal of Regional Science

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI
Electric sector investments under technological and policy-related uncertainties: a stochastic programming approach

Bistline, JE and JP Weyant

Climatic Change

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI
A bottom up approach to on-road CO2 emissions estimates: improved spatial accuracy and applications for regional planning

Gately, CK, LR Hutyra, I Sue Wing and MN Brondfield

Environmental Science & Technology

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI
Competition for land in the global bioeconomy

Hertel, T, J Steinbuks and U Baldos

Agricultural Economics

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI
Market-mediated environmental impacts of biofuels

Hertel, TW and WE Tyner

Global Food Security

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI
Capital Malleability, Emission Leakage and the Cost of Partial Climate Policies: General Equilibrium Analysis of the European Union Emission Trading System

Lanzi, E and I Sue Wing

Environmental & Resource Economics

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI
Climate adaptation as mitigation: the case of agricultural investments

Lobell, DB, UL Baldos and TW Hertel

Environmental Research Letters

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI
DICE 2013R: Introduction and User’s Manual

Nordhaus, W and P Sztorc

2013 PCHES-IAMDDI
The role of irrigation in determining the global land use impacts of biofuels

Taheripour, F, TW Hertel and J Liu

Energy, Sustainability and Society

2012 PCHES-IAMDDI
An assessment of key model parametric uncertainties in projections of Greenland Ice Sheet behavior

Applegate, PJ, N Kirchner, EJ Stone, K Keller and R Greve

The Cryosphere

2012 PCHES-IAMDDI
Response of corn markets to climate volatility under alternative energy futures

Diffenbaugh, NS, TW Hertel, M Scherer and M Verma

Nature Climate Change

2012 PCHES-IAMDDI
Modeling Land-Use Change Impacts of Biofuels in the GTAP-BIO Framework

Golub, AA and TW Hertel

Climate Change Economics

PCHES-ADAPTSupported by the US Department of Energy, Office of Science under Cooperative Agreement No. DE-SC0022141 (BibTeX).
PCHES-FRAMESupported by the US Department of Energy, Office of Science under Cooperative Agreement No. DE-SC0016162 (BibTeX).
PCHES-IAMDDISupported by the US Department of Energy, Office of Science under Grant No. DE-SC005171 (BibTeX).