PCHES-FRAME Task 2.2
How does an improved sampling of known uncertainties influence the tails of earth system model projections on decision-relevant spatial and temporal scales?
Investigators: Keller (co-lead), Sriver (co-lead), Forest, Haran, Nicholas, Reed
One key issue relevant for IAV analysis is that the frequency, duration, and intensity of weather hazards (such as extreme precipitation events, droughts, heat waves, floods, and severe weather outbreaks) are changing (Walsh, et al., 2014). One key scientific question we will address is what are the driving mechanisms and the projected magnitudes of future changes in extremes. Elucidating this question is crucial to developing sound adaptation and risk management strategies, particularly at local to regional scales.