Project 3.2

Climate projections method intercomparison and model diagnostics

Investigators: Reed (co-lead), Keller (co-lead), Fisher-Vanden, Forest, Haran, Mendelsohn, Nicholas, Sriver

Project 3.2 focuses on refining the global sensitivity-based diagnostic tools and link with key IAV / IAM / ESM team leaders to set up a suite of proof of concept analyses to quantify the effects of improving climate projections on risks, vulnerabilities, and impacts and to determine which (interacting) uncertainties matter the most. Major factors shape this integration challenge including computational demands, difficulties in choosing appropriate methods that can distinguish controlling uncertainties, and the difficulty of understanding how to consistently tailor model information in a manner that has relevance to real operational and planning challenges across multi- sector demands and services.

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